By Ross Benes

With the sixth pick in the draft, will the Kings finally break a 45-year-long superstar-less streak? You'd have to go back to the time when they were known as the Cincinnati Royals to find an instance when they selected an eventual All-Star starter.

While luck certainly plays a part in franchises landing great players in the draft, some teams (like the Kings) are just inept at finding and producing superstars, while others (like the Spurs) have a knack for it. We examined Basketball-Reference data to see how adept each franchise has been in producing "homegrown" superstars. In other words, what has their NBA draft record looked like?

While there are many ways to determine what constitutes a "star" in the NBA, we chose two criteria: those who were voted in as All-Star Game starters as well as those who produced at least 10 Win Shares in a season. We only looked at players who achieved either one of those two metrics for the same team they played their NBA rookie seasons for (so while Carmelo Anthony has definitely been a "star" for the Knicks, he doesn't count for this exercise, since they traded for him). To get a representative for each team, we had to go all the way back to 1970 when the then-Royals drafted Tiny Archibald.

The sortable table below shows when each team last drafted an All-Star Game starter as well as their last 10-plus-Win-Share player. Just to clarify, the "ASG Yr" and "Ws Yr" columns indicate the year that player was selected in the draft (not the year they were an All-Star Game starter or were worth 10 or more Win Shares).

For many teams, like the 76ers with Allen Iverson, a single player qualifies for both categories. When grouped by All-Star Game starters, the Kings, Bucks and Hawks have had the longest dry spells. Grouped by Win Shares, the Wizards, Hornets and Pistons possess the longest droughts. Win Share droughts are generally shorter since the stat isn't artificially limited to a particular number of players each season like All-Star Game starters is.

Team ASG Yr Drafted ASG Starter Ws Yr Drafted 10 Ws Player
76ers 1996 Allen Iverson 1996 Allen Iverson
Blazers 1983 Clyde Drexler 2012 Damian Lillard
Bucks 1979 Sidney Moncrief 2000 Michael Redd
Bulls 2008 Derrick Rose 2011 Jimmy Butler
Cavs 2011 Kyrie Irving 2011 Kyrie Irving
Celtics 2006 Rajon Rondo 1998 Paul Pierce
Clippers 2009 Blake Griffin 2009 Blake Griffin
Grizzlies 2007 Marc Gasol 2007 Marc Gasol
Hawks 1982 Dominique Wilkins 2007 Al Horford
Heat 2003 Dwyane Wade 2003 Dwyane Wade
Hornets 1991 Larry Johnson 1991 Larry Johnson
Jazz 1984 John Stockton 2005 Deron Williams
Kings 1970 Tiny Archibald 2004 Kevin Martin
Knicks 1985 Patrick Ewing 2005 David Lee
Lakers 2005 Andrew Bynum 1996 Kobe Bryant
Magic 2004 Dwight Howard 2004 Dwight Howard
Mavs 1994 Jason Kidd 1998 Dirk Nowitzki
Nets 1991 Kenny Anderson 2001 Richard Jefferson
Nuggets 2003 Carmelo Anthony 2003 Carmelo Anthony
Pacers 2010 Paul George 2010 Paul George
Pelicans 2012 Anthony Davis 2012 Anthony Davis
Pistons 1994 Grant Hill 1994 Grant Hill
Raptors 2003 Chris Bosh 2003 Chris Bosh
Rockets 2002 Yao Ming 2002 Yao Ming
Spurs 1997 Tim Duncan 1999 Manu Ginobili
Suns 2002 Amar'e Stoudemire 2008 Goran Dragic
Thunder 2007 Kevin Durant 2008 Russell Westbrook
Timberwolves 2008 Kevin Love 2008 Kevin Love
Warriors 2009 Stephen Curry 2009 Stephen Curry
Wizards 2010 John Wall 1980 Jeff Ruland

But looking just at the last star a team produced doesn't tell us how often each team develops great players. So we also examined how many total stars each franchise has produced in the same timeframe. For simplicity, we stuck to All-Star Game starters here.

On average, each team had 2.77 "homegrown" stars. The 76ers, Bulls and Rockets tie for the most with six apiece. The Clippers, Grizzlies, Heat, Hornets, Kings, Mavericks and Wizards each only had one star.

Since expansion franchises are much younger than traditional NBA teams, it's not exactly fair to only look at the number of stars a team produced. Taking into account a franchise's length of existence gives a rate of how often each team produces a starting all-star. The table below shows how many years on average it takes each team to produce a new "homegrown" star and the stars each team produced.

Teams Yrs/Star Player1 Player2 Player3 Player4 Player5 Player6
Pelicans/Hornets  6.50 Chris Paul Anthony Davis        
76ers  6.67  Doug Collins   George McGinnis   Julius Erving   Maurice Cheeks   Charles Barkley   Allen Iverson 
Bulls  6.67  Artis Gilmore   Reggie Theus   Michael Jordan   Scottie Pippen   B.J. Armstrong   Derrick Rose 
Rockets  6.67  Moses Malone   Rudy Tomjanovich   Ralph Sampson   Hakeem Olajuwon   Steve Francis   Yao Ming 
Spurs  7.80  Larry Kenon   George Gervin   Alvin Robertson   David Robinson   Tim Duncan   
Celtics  8.00  John Havlicek   Dave Cowens   Larry Bird   Antoine Walker   Rajon Rondo   
Lakers  8.00  Magic Johnson   James Worthy   A.C. Green   Kobe Bryant   Andrew Bynum   
Magic  8.67  Shaquille O'Neal   Anfernee Hardaway   Dwight Howard       
Raptors  10.00  Vince Carter   Chris Bosh         
Suns  10.00  Walter Davis   Dan Majerle   Steve Nash   Amar'e Stoudemire     
Nuggets  13.00  Dan Issel   David Thompson   Carmelo Anthony       
Timberwolves  13.00  Kevin Garnett   Kevin Love         
Blazers  13.33  Bill Walton   Maurice Lucas   Clyde Drexler       
Bucks  13.33  Bob Dandridge   Marques Johnson   Sidney Moncrief       
Hawks  13.33  Eddie Johnson   John Drew   Dominique Wilkins       
Thunder/Sonics  13.33  Shawn Kemp   Gary Payton   Kevin Durant       
Warriors  13.33  Rick Barry   Latrell Sprewell   Stephen Curry       
Nets  19.50  Derrick Coleman   Kenny Anderson         
Pacers  19.50  Reggie Miller   Paul George         
Cavaliers  20.00  LeBron James   Kyrie Irving         
Grizzlies  20.00  Marc Gasol           
Jazz  20.00  Karl Malone   John Stockton         
Knicks  20.00  Walt Frazier   Patrick Ewing         
Pistons  20.00  Isiah Thomas   Grant Hill         
Heat  27.00  Dwyane Wade           
Hornets  29.00  Larry Johnson           
Mavericks  35.00  Jason Kidd           
Clippers  40.00  Blake Griffin           
Kings/Royals  40.00  Tiny Archibald           
Wizards  40.00  John Wall           

The Pelicans technically top the list, although that's more a function of their short time span. Looking at teams that have been around since the ABA-NBA merger, the top five (76ers, Bulls, Rockets, Spurs, Celtics) have 33 titles (more than half come from the Celtics). The bottom five (Wizards, Kings, Clippers, Pistons, Jazz) have five titles. On average, it took each franchise 17.39 years to draft their own star. The median duration was 13.33 years.

The Clippers, Kings and Wizards are the worst at producing "homegrown" stars. And unlike the Wizards and Clippers, the Kings' star came a long time ago. While the disastrous Knicks have fared a bit better, they haven't really drafted a big star since Patrick Ewing in 1985.

But there is hope for teams who have struck out on the draft time and time again. The Bucks vastly improved this season. Hopefully other teams with "homegrown" star droughts soon follow suit so upcoming seasons become less predictable and more watchable than what we're seeing. Thursday's draft could change everything.

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Ross Benes is a Sports on Earth contributor who has written for Deadspin, The Wall Street Journal, Esquire and Slate. You can reach him at and follow him on Twitter @RossBenes.