Yesterday, we looked at Major League Baseball's midseason award candidates, and I offered my picks for each major award. Today, we look forward to the second half for each team.

It's important to remember how much can change in the last 81 or so games of the season. Last year, the Atlanta Braves and Milwaukee Brewers were both in first place on this date, yet they both ended up missing the playoffs. In 2013, the Diamondbacks led the National League West at the halfway point, but they finished 11 games out of first. Whatever your team is on pace for right now tells you little about where they're going to actually finish.

So let's take a look. We'll go through all 30 teams, note how many wins they're on pace for and see whether they will finish over or under that total. And then we'll have some final playoff predictions. These teams will look far different in early October than they do now. How different? Let's take a look.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

EAST

New York Yankees

Projected win total: 86

The Yankees have been a pleasant surprise in large part because of comeback seasons from some of their older stars, particularly Alex Rodriguez and Mark Teixeira. It's asking a lot of them to continue at that pace, but the Yanks have the wherewithal (and motivation) to make a move. Remember: Even during this "barren" era, the Yankees have never finished under .500. At first place at this late date, there's little reason to think they won't be all-in.

Prediction: over

Baltimore Orioles

Projected win total: 83

The Orioles have thrived the past few years on outpacing what analysts had predicted for them. This year, though, they're actually underperforming their Pythagorean record; they should be 10 games over .500. For all the concerns about the back half of the rotation, the lineup is top heavy as well. The whole team has just felt a little out of balance this year. Still, there's too much talent, and too much recent history, to think this is a .500 team.

Prediction: over

Toronto Blue Jays

Projected win total: 83

Remember what I was saying about the Orioles' Pythagorean win percentage? It's even worse for the Jays: By their run differential, they should be 16 games over .500. The offense is as excellent as you thought it would be -- though it would be nice to get Jose Reyes going -- and the rotation could start to stabilize, particularly if Aaron Sanchez comes back healthy. For my money, the Jays, who are only a game-and-a-half out of first, are the best bet to win this division.

Prediction: over

Tampa Bay Rays

Projected win total: 81

When the Rays were bouncing around first place earlier this season, observers were confounded as to how they were doing it. A massive losing streak later, the answer is clear: They weren't. As impressive as the pitching staff has been, it can't overcome that offense. And it's becoming clearer by the start that Matt Moore will be no savior. I bet this team will finish last in the AL East.

Prediction: under

Boston Red Sox

Projected win total: 76

So just about everything that could go wrong for the Sox has gone wrong. Thus, you might not have noticed that a recent hot streak has them only five games out of first in the AL East and creeping up in the Wild Card race. The young talent is starting to coalesce at the right time, and the rotation is a piece or two away from pulling itself into something feasible as well. They need too much to go right to win this division, but they are far from out of it.

Prediction: over

CENTRAL

Kansas City Royals

Projected win total: 96

Remember when the Royals were supposed to be one-year wonders? The same things that led to their postseason run -- speed, defense, bullpen -- have led them to a relatively comfortable 4 1/2-game lead in the Central; apparently, losing clubhouse leader James Shields did not cause the Royals to wilt. Still: 96 wins seems a scooch too high, doesn't it? They won't need that many to win this division.

Prediction: under

Minnesota Twins

Projected win total: 87

The Twins have been a lovely story in the first half, and it's undeniable the effect that new manager Paul Molitor has had on this team. Miguel Sano looks terrific so far, and you have to think Byron Buxton, when he returns, will look more like the top prospect in baseball. But this team has outperformed any reasonable expectation and, deep down, probably doesn't even consider itself that serious a contender. The Twins are building something solid and lasting. But not yet.

Prediction: under

Detroit Tigers

Projected win total: 82

It's sure starting to look like the division-title streak -- which has lasted since 2010 -- is going to end this year. The Tigers were in trouble before Miguel Cabrera got injured; now their division title probability, according to Baseball Prospectus, is all the way down to below 20 percent. There's enough institutional memory here to remain an above-.500 team and probably even finish in second place … but considering the contract issues the Tigers have moving forward, this might be the beginning of the end.

Prediction: over

Cleveland Indians

Projected win total: 76

Everybody's preseason darling -- both Sports Illustrated and Grantland had them in the World Series -- has been a first-half bummer, despite outstanding years from Jason Kipnis, Corey Kluber and even David Murphy. And all the things you liked about the Indians are still here, and you expect players like Michael Brantley, Carlos Santana, Carlos Carrasco and Danny Salazar to put up much better numbers in the second half than the first. They're probably too far back -- 10 games! -- to catch the Royals, but this team has more than enough to get over .500 and maybe even get back in the Wild Card race.

Prediction: over

Chicago White Sox

Projected win total: 74

Speaking of teams not reaching preseason expectations, the White Sox have been a nightmare so far; they've actually overperformed their Pythagorean record by six games, and they're still deep in last place. The offense has been the problem, with Jose Abreu the only real above-average regular, and he's not even having the superstar breakthrough year many were expecting. You would expect players like Jeff Samardzija and Adam LaRoche to have better second halves, but at this point, it's likely they're going to have them with other teams.

Prediction: under

WEST

Houston Astros

Projected win total: 92

The Astros no longer have the best record in the AL, and that once-comfortable lead in the division has dwindled down to 2 1/2 games. Plus, the injury to George Springer is going to hurt. That said, this is still a talented team with potential reinforcements and the flexibility to make a deal. And with Carlos Correa, they have a superstar-in-the-making. It's going to be a tough fight until the end in this division, and it wouldn't shock me to see the 'Stros end up having to fight through the AL Wild Card Game. Considering what the past few years looked for this franchise, that should hardly be thought of as a disappointment.

Prediction: under

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

Projected win total: 88

The Angels appear to have woken up, thanks largely to Albert Pujols' re-emergence, an improving rotation (welcome, Andrew Heaney!) and of course Mike Trout's daily brilliance. The front-office drama seems like something that will cause more trouble in the long term than the short term. And in the short term … the Angels look like a team that, if they can maybe bring in one or two more league-average bats (hey, it might be nice to have Josh Hamilton, maybe!), could end up winning this division again. The Astros now have their clear challenger, regardless.

Prediction: over

Texas Rangers

Projected win total: 79

This four-game losing streak has put a damper on some of the Rangers' fun, and Globe Life Park in Arlington does feel a little less electric with Joey Gallo back in the Minors. It's sad and strange seeing Adrian Beltre having such a poor season, and even with all Texas' talent, it's tough to see how this might all come together in time to make the run it needs. But GM Jon Daniels doesn't necessarily need to tear it down either. This is a transition year for the Rangers, and all told, it's going better than you might have thought. Next year, this team could be back.

Prediction: under

Seattle Mariners

Projected win total: 75

You just keep waiting for the Mariners' motor to get started, for this to kick into gear the way it was supposed to … and here were are, nearly at the All-Star break, and the M's are six games under .500. The offense, long the bugaboo in Seattle, hasn't been the problem; the rotation and the bullpen have caused nothing but headaches (outside of Felix Hernandez, of course). It still feels like the Mariners are going to go on a run at some point, but I'm starting to worry it's going to be mid-August and I'm still going to be feeling that way, with the Mariners 15 games out.

Prediction: over

Oakland A's

Projected win total: 73

On one hand, the A's have run into historically bad luck this season, including a shocking 7-21 in one-run games. (Their Pythagorean record is 49-37; their real one is 39-47.) So they should be much better in the second half, if just by pure luck. On the other hand, they might just be up for selling anything not nailed down and starting over for next year. My guess is that a stripped-down A's team is still better than a 72-win team.

Prediction: over

***

NATIONAL LEAGUE

EAST

Washington Nationals

Projected win total: 89

Most people, including me, saw this as a potential 100-win team this season, but a lot has gone wrong in the early going, from injury woes to underperforming hitters to some poor defense and fundamentals. And yet the Nats are still 3 1/2 games up and pretty much in charge of this division, even in cruise control. When they kick it into gear, which is going to happen, it's going to seem funny that anyone else in the East ever thought they had a chance.

Prediction: over

New York Mets

Projected win total: 82

New York fans' increasing frustration with ownership's inability to help out a team that clearly needs it may end up causing this season, which could be the Mets' first winning season since 2008, to be more trouble than it's worth. The young pitching has been as advertised, but this offense is a nightmare right now, with little help coming (apparently). The pitching is enough to get them over .500 … but what a shame that can't be much more.

Prediction: over

Atlanta Braves

Projected win total: 81

The first half has been a lovely surprise for Braves fans, and it's tough to argue with some of the future-oriented moves John Hart and company have made with an eye on the new SunTrust Park in 2017. The .500 record at this point is found money, one the Braves shouldn't (and surely won't) be distracted by as they build this franchise back up again. The second half won't be as good as the first … but there are good things happening here. Prediction: under

Miami Marlins

Projected win total: 68

So, that didn't turn out like it was supposed to. The Marlins tried to build their team around Giancarlo Stanton and his massive contract, but not only did that not work, the front office and clubhouse were thrown into chaos with Dan Jennings making himself manager. Oh, and then Stanton got hurt. The Marlins are about to pack it in, and all told, you can probably imagine them giving Stanton more time to rest than he might even need. Why push him? Watch when Jose Fernandez pitches. Run in the opposite direction when he doesn't.

Prediction: under

Philadelphia Phillies

Projected win total: 54

Whoa, the Phillies might lose 108 games? Is that right? You knew things were bad, but we've only seen that twice this century. You'd think trading Cole Hamels -- which, uh, you guys are gonna do any day now, right? -- and Jonathan Papelbon would make them worse, but maybe it will clear out some space for some energetic young guys and refill the coffers a bit. Plus: Maikel Franco. The Phillies will remain bad, but are they really going to lose 108 games? I don't think so.

Prediction: over

CENTRAL

St. Louis Cardinals

Projected win total: 104

Don't look now, but the Cardinals' lead in the NL Central -- which was nine games just 10 days ago -- is all the way down to 4 1/2 games. Much of that is because the Pirates are playing out of their minds right now, but the concerns Cards fans have had about the offense all season are starting to manifest themselves in genuine worry. In the past fortnight, Matt Carpenter, Randal Grichuk and Yadier Molina are all struggling, Matt Holliday and Kolten Wong have been hurt and Mark Reynolds and Peter Bourjos are simply unable to do much at all. St. Louis' rotation remains a strength, but with young pitchers like Michael Wacha and Carlos Martinez in need of rest and Jaime Garcia hurt again, the Cards are facing an innings crunch down the line. The team needs another starter, a first baseman and maybe another bullpen arm. St. Louis has won 100 games or more eight times in its history. Don't count on this being the ninth.

Prediction: under

Pittsburgh Pirates

Projected win total: 96

Ninety-six wins would be the most since those Bonds/Bonilla/Van Slyke teams of 1990-92 … but the way the Pirates are playing right now, it almost seems low. Pittsburgh is 23-10 since the end of May, the best record in baseball, and everybody's hitting. (The emergence of Starling Marte has been one of the quieter stories of the division this season.) Add that to the Bucs' rotation (which has two All-Stars) and factor in a shutdown bullpen, and they look like the best team in the division as currently constructed. Will that be enough to make up the 4 1/2 games they need by the end of the year? It's going to be closer than anybody thought two weeks ago.

Prediction: over

Chicago Cubs

Projected win total: 90

The Cubs are still working out some kinks, still getting the rotation in order and getting all those young hitters going at the same time … and they're still comfortably in the second Wild Card spot. They'll be in a position to add at the non-waiver Trade Deadline, if they decide not to wait. Either way: It'll be a shock if the Cubs don't play at least one postseason game this season.

Prediction: over

Cincinnati Reds

Projected win total: 75

Johnny Cueto might have made his final Reds start last night, and there's more coming here. If it weren't for the All-Star Game, Cincinnati might have already started the rebuild. It's going to be a long time, kids. The second half could be the beginning of a long, grueling process.

Prediction: under

Milwaukee Brewers

Projected win total: 68

This total would have been a lot lower had it not been for that recent eight-game winning streak, a run that was sort of pointless, but nonetheless fun. The Brewers, like the Reds, have a huge hill to climb in this division, and they look like they'll be sending out Carlos Gomez, among other pieces, soon. The Cardinals, Cubs and Pirates need to beat on the teams like Cincinnati and Milwaukee when they can in the second half; they'll have plenty of opportunities.

Prediction: under

WEST

Los Angeles Dodgers

Projected win total: 90

Every player in the Dodgers' lineup is an above-average hitter other than Jimmy Rollins … and he might not remain in the lineup that much longer. They've got four above-average starters, two of whom are Zach Greinke and Clayton Kershaw. And the Dodgers have Kenley Jansen and J.P. Howell, possibly the best LOOGY in the game. And they're only on pace for 90 wins? Wait until Yasiel Puig gets going.

Prediction: over

San Francisco Giants

Projected win total: 82

This recent losing streak has sent the Giants into a panic, but this is still a solid team, one that's arguably better constructed to win in the regular season than some of their championship teams because of an improved offense. You have to think they'll get their pitching figured out too. If there's any team that has a chance to break the NL Central's hold on the wild-card spots, it's this one.

Prediction: over

Arizona Diamondbacks

Projected win total: 80

No arguments here with the D-backs' first half. They've been feistier than most people expected, and in Paul Goldschmidt, they might just have the best pure hitter on the planet. It's still not entirely clear which direction this franchise is going moving toward, and there are short-term financial questions as well. With Tony LaRussa in charge, you know that Arizona is going to make some noise. But the second half may be more about stage-setting than winning games.

Prediction: under

San Diego Padres

Projected win total: 73

The Padres have gone from the biggest buyer in the offseason -- a ludicrous, gloriously out-of-control spender -- to a Trade Deadline seller. Justin Upton may be gone, Andrew Cashner may be gone, Ian Kennedy will almost surely be gone. It's going to be a long, hard offseason of big questions for San Diego.

Prediction: under

Colorado Rockies

Projected win total: 68

No one is ever quite sure what the Rockies are doing, and now the trade values of Troy Tulowitzki and Carlos Gonzalez have collapsed. Still, there's real talent here -- some have argued they'd even rather have Nolan Arenado than Kris Bryant, when you account for defense -- including young pitching working its way through the system. I bet Colorado can sneak out of last this year. So yay!

Prediction: over

This all leads to a final playoff prediction of:

AL

East: Toronto
Central: Kansas City
West: L.A. Angels
Wild Card: N.Y. Yankees at Houston

NL

East: Washington
Central: St. Louis (barely)
West: L.A. Dodgers
Wild Card: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh

The second half should be even more fun than the first half. I'm ready if you are.

***

Email me at leitch@sportsonearth.com, follow me @williamfleitch or just shout out your window real loud, I'll hear you. Point is, let's talk.