By Michael Klopman
As most baseball fans know, Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA projections were recently released. We're going to give fans a chance to predict whether teams will finish over or under their projected win totals, just like Will Leitch did.
Here's where the Washington Nationals finished in the National League East in each of the past five seasons:
2012: 1st place
2013: 2nd place
2014: 1st place
2015: 2nd place
2016: 1st place
The PECOTA system has that pattern continuing in 2017, with the New York Mets taking the division and the Nats right behind them (but neither are projected to hit the 90-win mark). The Mets didn't change the roster much throughout this offseason, which means they didn't change the lineup that finished 26th in the Majors in runs scored per game.
But bringing back Yoenis Cespedes can only be a good thing, and if all of their pitchers are healthy, they'll have arguably the best rotation in the league. The Nats on the other hand, made a big splash by trading for outfielder Adam Eaton, a move that allows them to have rising star Trea Turner play his natural position of shortstop. However, they never solved their closer problem.
As for the rest of the division, the Miami Marlins, Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies are all projected to finish below .500 for the third year in a row.
Do you agree with PECOTA's projections? Make your picks below:
National League East
New York Mets
Michael Klopman is an associate producer for Sports on Earth.