At the beginning of this season, we launched our Sports on Earth Confidence Pool, which allows you to compete against me (and Vegas and FiveThirtyEight, ESPN's smart analytics site). The winner of the pool gets to assign me to write about whatever they would like for my weekly newsletter. And we are down to the very end now.

We can track how I'm doing against FiveThirtyEight and Vegas. As we enter the playoffs, current scores:

Vegas Odds: 1523 (2nd place)

Leitch: 1507 (3rd place)

FiveThirtyEight: 1465 (7th place)

First place is held by Adam Cohen, who has 1,528 points. Games were supposed to be worth 10 times as much in the playoffs, but apparently I made this modification incorrectly on the pool sheets. So now I can't change it from now on. So it looks good for him. But we'll see.

For now, though, the divisional games! Here goes! Vegas and 538 picks are after mine. Favorites are in all caps, with spreads (via Bovada, subject to change) and tune-in info below (all times ET).

4. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (13-3) over Tennessee Titans (10-7)
(-13) 8:15 p.m. Saturday, CBS

You have to admit that it would have been more fun to watch the Patriots trounce the Bills than it will be the Titans.

3. PITTSBURGH STEELERS (13-3) over Jacksonville Jaguars (11-6)
(-7.5) 1:05 p.m. Sunday, CBS 

The Jaguars have been feisty, but we've all known we're getting a Steelers-Patriots AFC championship game for months now.

2. New Orleans Saints (12-5) over MINNESOTA VIKINGS (13-3)
(+4.5) 4:40 p.m. Sunday, FOX 

Not enough has been made of the possibility that the Vikings -- these Vikings -- could be the first team ever to play a Super Bowl in their home stadium. That would be nuts, no?

1. Philadelphia Eagles (13-3) over ATLANTA FALCONS (11-6)
(+2.5) 4:35 p.m. Saturday, NBC

It would be a very Eagles thing to win this one and then lose in the NFC championship game. It does sound right, doesn't it?


4. NEW ENGLAND over Tennessee
3. PITTSBURGH over Jacksonville
2. MINNESOTA over New Orleans
1. Philadelphia over ATLANTA


4. NEW ENGLAND over Tennessee
3. PITTSBURGH over Jacksonville
2. MINNESOTA over New Orleans
1. ATLANTA over Philadelphia

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