First off, some Selection Sunday adjustments to our final S-curve, mere hours before the Selection Committee renders such frivolities irrelevant. As with Saturday morning's curve, I'm leaving the last five slots open.

S-CURVE (automatic qualifiers in CAPS, teams that have officially clinched in bold)

No. 1: LOUISVILLE, GONZAGA, Duke, Indiana

No. 2: KANSAS, MIAMI (FLA.), FLORIDA, OHIO STATE

No. 3: NEW MEXICO, Wisconsin, Georgetown, Michigan State

No. 4: ST. LOUIS, Michigan, Syracuse, Kansas State

No. 5: Nevada-Las Vegas, Oklahoma State, Ucla, Arizona

No. 6: Marquette, Virginia Commonwealth, Notre Dame, OREGON

No. 7: Butler, North Carolina, Colorado State, Pittsburgh

No. 8: CREIGHTON, MEMPHIS, Illinois, N.C. State

No. 9: Missouri, San Diego State, Cincinnati, Villanova

No. 10: Colorado, Iowa State, California, Wichita State

No. 11: Temple, Minnesota, Oklahoma (LAST BYE)

No. 12: BELMONT, BUCKNELL (LAST FOUR SPOTS)

No. 13: DAVIDSON, VALPARAISO, SOUTH DAKOTA STATE, AKRON

No. 14: HARVARD, MONTANA, IONA, NEW MEXICO STATE

No. 15: FLORIDA GULF COAST, LIU BROOKLYN, PACIFIC, NORTHWESTERN STATE

No. 16: ALBANY, JAMES MADISON, WESTERN KENTUCKY (play-in), SOUTHERN (play-in), NORTH CAROLINA A&T (play-in), LIBERTY (play-in)

Before we get to those five slots, some notes:

• Indiana's loss to Wisconsin shouldn't knock the Hoosiers out of their presumed No. 1 seed any more than Duke's loss to Maryland did. It might knock them out of the No. 1 overall seed, though: At this point, if only by deign of not having to go through the gauntlet the larger-conference teams have all had to, Gonzaga held onto its spot, and I think it will hang onto it, despite Kansas' Big 12 title. Louisville stomped its way to that top overall seed, though … and probably Indiana's spot in Indianapolis.

• The protected seeds, 1-4, are a bit of a mess. After the No. 1 seeds, it's best not to pay too close attention to an individual seed; the committee often moves teams up or down spots based more on geography than quality. But those top 16 teams look like they have real separation from the rest of the bracket to me, and they're awfully bunched together. I bet you find all four of your Final Four teams, and six or seven of your Elite Eight, from those 16.

• Also, after watching St. Louis at the A-10 tournament for the past two days, I'm not sure I can raise the Billikens high enough. Look out.

• There are some who consider the teams I have on the No. 11 seed as less safely in than I'm considering them, particularly Minnesota. (Some even think Wichita State could be bubbling.) I still think the Gophers and everyone else at No. 11 are fine. This is one of those years -- and with a 68-team tournament, all years are becoming "one of those years" -- in which any team that doesn't make the tournament will have a glaring weakness that will give them no reason to complain. Heck, lots of the teams who will make it have that glaring weakness.

Speaking of which: Heading into Saturday, these were the teams fighting for the five last spots:

Alabama, Baylor, Boise State, Iowa, Kentucky, La Salle, Louisiana Tech, Massachusetts, Middle Tennessee State, Mississippi, St. Mary's, Southern Mississippi, Tennessee, Virginia

Here's how I had them ranked coming into Saturday's play:

1. St. Mary's (last bye)

2. La Salle

3. Boise State

4. Middle Tennessee State

5. Mississippi

6. Baylor

7. Tennessee

8. Massachusetts

9. Alabama

10. Kentucky

11. Iowa

12. Virginia

13. Louisiana Tech

14. Southern Mississippi

I didn't include Maryland despite its win over Duke, so I didn't have to take it off after it lost to North Carolina. Of those 14 teams, only four played Saturday:

Alabama. Lost to Florida 61-51.
Massachusetts. Lost to VCU 71-62.
Mississippi. Beat Vanderbilt 64-52.
Southern Mississippi. Lost to Memphis 91-79 in double overtime.

I'm so impressed by Mississippi's SEC tourney run-- and so convinced that the NCAA wouldn't dare waste a showman like Marshall Henderson on one of the play-in games in Dayton, though I suppose, now that I think about it, they might put him in that game for the exact opposite reason that I'm moving them all the way up to the top of that list, the No. 11 bye. Congrats, Rebels: A win over Florida might even send you higher.

The other teams all lost, so they can't move up. Which means, with all 14 bubble teams done for the season, and no bid stealers left in the conference tournament, we're all set. That leaves us with a final bubble wrapup of:

Last Five In: Mississippi, St. Mary's (play-in), La Salle (play-in), Boise State (play-in), Middle Tennessee State (play-in)

Last Five Out: Baylor, Tennessee, Kentucky, Iowa, Virginia

Next Four Out: Alabama, Massachusetts, Louisiana Tech, Southern Mississippi

Thus, with all said and done, the final S-curve, on the morning of Selection Sunday, all completed:

S-CURVE (automatic qualifiers in CAPS, teams that have officially clinched in bold)

No. 1: LOUISVILLE, GONZAGA, Indiana, Duke

No. 2: KANSAS, MIAMI (FLA.), FLORIDA, OHIO STATE

No. 3: NEW MEXICO, Wisconsin, Georgetown, Michigan State

No. 4: ST. LOUIS, Michigan, Syracuse, Kansas State

No. 5: Nevada-Las Vegas, Oklahoma State, Ucla, Arizona

No. 6: Marquette, Virginia Commonwealth, Notre Dame, OREGON

No. 7: Butler, North Carolina, Colorado State, Pittsburgh

No. 8: CREIGHTON, MEMPHIS, Illinois, N.C. State

No. 9: Missouri, San Diego State, Cincinnati, Villanova

No. 10: Colorado, Iowa State, California, Wichita State

No. 11: Temple, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Mississippi

No. 12: BELMONT, BUCKNELL, St. Mary's (play-in), La Salle (play-in), Boise State (play-in), Middle Tennessee State (play-in)

No. 13: DAVIDSON, VALPARAISO, SOUTH DAKOTA STATE, AKRON

No. 14: HARVARD, MONTANA, IONA, NEW MEXICO STATE

No. 15: FLORIDA GULF COAST, LIU BROOKLYN, PACIFIC, NORTHWESTERN STATE

No. 16: ALBANY, JAMES MADISON, WESTERN KENTUCKY (play-in), SOUTHERN (play-in), NORTH CAROLINA A&T (play-in), LIBERTY (play-in)

And, for the fun of it: A bracket, made by this S-curve with matchups and everything. Have fun out there today, everybody.

(Click for larger version)

leitchbracket